10-year bond yield sees biggest single-day fall in 20 months – Times of India


MUMBAI: India’s benchmark 10-year bond yield noticed its largest single-day fall in practically 20 months on Monday amid a drop in crude oil costs and as world risk-off sentiment prompted buyers to cowl their brief positions.
The rupee fell to a one-and-half month low, monitoring falls within the home share market and different Asian friends on considerations that Beijing may be part of Shanghai in a strict Covid-19 lockdown which weighed on Chinese language shares and the yuan.
India’s benchmark 10-year bond yield closed buying and selling at 7.04%, down 13 foundation factors on the day, its largest single-day fall since Sept. 1, 2020.
“World oil costs are down, there’s a risk-off mode globally, so individuals are shopping for bonds. There are some who’re focusing on 6.90% on the 10-year within the near-term,” a senior dealer at a non-public financial institution mentioned.
Oil slumped to about two-week lows, extending final week’s decline, as concern grew that extended Covid-19 lockdowns in Shanghai and doubtlessly rising US rates of interest would damage world financial progress and oil demand.
India’s home share markets tanked greater than 1% according to different Asian friends.
The partially convertible rupee ended at 76.69/70 per greenback, in comparison with its shut of 76.4825 on Friday. The unit dropped to a low of 76.77 per greenback, its weakest since March 9.
“The RBI has to this point acted as an efficient backstop for the rupee, however we suspect that in excessive risk-off conditions it’s prone to flip to a method of curbing rupee volatility relatively than defending explicit ranges of the rupee,” HDFC Financial institution mentioned in a analysis observe.
“The RBI may need to let market forces play out to some extent, letting the rupee transfer nearer to its honest worth, as an alternative of going too strongly towards the wind.”
Buyers are intently monitoring the evolving inflation scenario to see how quickly the Reserve Financial institution of India is prone to begin elevating rates of interest.
Virtually all members of the financial coverage committee argued in favour of motion to curb inflationary pressures at their April 6-8 assembly regardless of persevering with dangers to financial progress, minutes launched after market hours on Friday confirmed.
“Total, we felt that the tone expressed within the minutes was not as hawkish because the feedback within the post-policy convention instructed and will maybe be interpreted because the MPC not but signaling an aggressive price climbing cycle,” mentioned Rahul Bajoria, chief India economist at Barclays.
“Nevertheless, provided that the minutes have been drafted earlier than the March CPI information, they could not fully seize probably the most present response operate,” he added.


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